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Polynomially Adjusted Saddlepoint Density Approximations

机译:多项式调整的鞍点密度逼近

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摘要

This thesis aims at obtaining improved bona fide density estimates and approximants by means of adjustments applied to the widely used saddlepoint approximation. Said adjustments are determined by solving systems of equations resulting from a moment-matching argument. A hybrid density approximant that relies on the accuracy of the saddlepoint approximation in the distributional tails is introduced as well. A certain representation of noncentral indefinite quadratic forms leads to an initial approximation whose parameters are evaluated by simultaneously solving four equations involving the cumulants of the target distribution. A saddlepoint approximation to the distribution of quadratic forms is also discussed. By way of application, accurate approximations to the distributions of the Durbin-Watson statistic and a certain portmanteau test statistic are determined. It is explained that the moments of the latter can be evaluated either by defining an expected value operator via the symbolic approach or by resorting to a recursive relationship between the joint moments and cumulants of sums of products of quadratic forms. As well, the bivariate case is addressed by applying a polynomial adjustment to the product of the saddlepoint approximations of the marginal densities of the standardized variables. Furthermore, extensions to the context of density estimation are formulated and applied to several univariate and bivariate data sets. In this instance, sample moments and empirical cumulant-generating functions are utilized in lieu of their theoretical analogues. Interestingly, the methodology herein advocated for approximating bivariate distributions not only yields density estimates whose functional forms readily lend themselves to algebraic manipulations, but also gives rise to copula density functions that prove significantly more flexible than the conventional functional type.
机译:本文旨在通过对广泛使用的鞍点近似进行调整来获得改进的真实密度估计和近似值。所述调整是通过求解由力矩匹配自变量得出的方程组来确定的。还介绍了一种依赖于分布尾部中鞍点近似值精度的混合密度近似值。非中心不定二次形式的某种表示形式导致初始近似,其参数是通过同时求解涉及目标分布累积量的四个方程来评估的。还讨论了二次形式分布的鞍点近似。通过应用,可以确定对Durbin-Watson统计量和某个Portmanteau检验统计量的分布的精确近似。据解释,后者的力矩可以通过符号方法定义期望值算子或通过求联合力矩和二次形式积和的累积量之间的递归关系来评估。同样,通过对标准变量的边际密度的鞍点近似值的乘积应用多项式调整来解决二元情况。此外,制定了对密度估计上下文的扩展,并将其应用于几个单变量和双变量数据集。在这种情况下,利用样本矩和经验累积量生成函数来代替它们的理论类似物。有趣的是,本文提倡的用于近似双变量分布的方法不仅产生密度估计,其功能形式易于进行代数运算,而且引起了比实函数类型更加灵活的copula密度函数。

著录项

  • 作者

    Sheng, Susan Zhe;

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  • 年度 2013
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 English
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